The board
Trades disclosed by people the law requires to publish them. A source appears here only once its measured margin over an index fund sits above zero across its whole confidence range.
Follow the people who file their trades in public.
Trades disclosed by people the law requires to publish them. A source appears here only once its measured margin over an index fund sits above zero across its whole confidence range.
| Stock | Who bought it | News age | If right | If wrong | Risk | Open |
|---|
Select any row for the full reasoning, the exact prices, and the odds it worked before.
A million dollars, real prices, no real money. Buy what the officials bought, or ignore them entirely and see who does better.
The board answers “what is new”. This answers “who is good” — and the two are not the same question.
Simulated across every source we have tested — including the bad ones, which is all of them so far. A record that only shows winners is an advertisement.
| Closed | Stock | Why we called it | Result |
|---|
We do not predict the market. We find people whose trades are public, measure whether following them worked, and keep only the ones that survived.
| Source | Market | Cases | Worked | Status |
|---|
Clusters of company insiders buying their own stock is one of the most widely repeated signals in finance. We tested it properly — entry, stop, target, holding period, across 892 real cases since 2023 — and following it lost to an index fund by 1.06 points per trade. We publish that next to anything that works, because a platform that only shows you its survivors is showing you a magic trick.
If you read nothing else, read these. They are what separates using this well from getting hurt.
Every source here has been tested against real filings, and not one has beaten a simple index fund by a margin we can tell apart from luck. So the boards show what officials and insiders disclosed buying — never what you should buy. There is no entry price, no stop and no target anywhere on this site, because none has been earned.
A rule that returns +2% a trade sounds good until you learn an index fund returned +3% over the same days. Then following it cost you a point for far more work and far more risk. Every number here is reported next to what an index fund did over the identical holding period, because that is the only comparison that decides anything.
Losing four times in ten is normal for a rule that works, and those four do not politely space themselves out. Meanwhile a filer with eleven disclosed trades and a 60% record has told you nothing at all — at that sample size it cannot be told apart from a coin. Wherever the evidence is thin, this site says so on the number itself.
The law gives members of Congress up to 45 days to disclose a trade, and company insiders two. By the time you see it the price has usually moved, sometimes enormously. Every card shows what the filer paid alongside what the stock costs today, so you can see exactly how much of the move already happened without you.
Only about one filing in six is the member’s sole account; the rest are joint, spouse or a child’s. Every Nancy Pelosi trade here, for instance, is her spouse’s. The card names whose account it was, because “Pelosi bought this” and “an account Pelosi is on bought this” are different claims.
Debt, an emergency fund, your tax position, how close you are to needing the money — all of it changes what you should do, and none of it is visible to us. Money you need within five years does not belong in any of this.